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Connected glossary

Learn a concept where it does real work.

Definitions become memorable when they unlock a live question. Every concept links back to the mechanisms that use it.

1 connected Lever

Access model

Paying for continued use rather than permanent ownership.

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Adjustment cost

The cost borne while workers, capital and places move between activities after trade patterns change.

1 connected Lever

Agglomeration economy

Productivity gains firms receive by locating near related firms and workers.

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Aggregate demand

Total spending on goods and services in an economy.

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Ammonia

A nitrogen compound used as the foundation for many fertilizers.

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Asset freeze

A prohibition on transferring or dealing with specified property under the sanctioning authority's jurisdiction.

1 connected Lever

Asset-price inflation

A broad rise in prices of assets such as shares, bonds or property; unlike consumer inflation, it has no single universal official basket.

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Attribution

The explanation a person assigns to an observed change, which may differ from the mechanism that actually produced it.

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Attribution error

Assigning a bundled result to one visible component without isolating the alternatives.

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Balance-sheet effect

A price or exchange-rate change alters the value of assets and liabilities.

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Bargaining power

The ability of workers or employers to influence pay and working conditions.

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Bargaining range

The set of deals both sides prefer to the expected cost and risk of fighting.

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Baseline dependence

The effect of a change depends on what a person was eating and experiencing before it.

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Basis risk

The risk that the futures price and the local physical price do not move together exactly.

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Benchmark price

A reference price used across many physical and financial transactions.

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Brand portfolio

A set of distinct brands controlled by one company.

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Bundled intervention

A change that alters several exposures together, so its result cannot by itself identify one cause.

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Cable landing station

The coastal facility connecting a submarine cable to terrestrial networks.

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Capital buffer

Loss-absorbing equity that protects a bank's creditors and depositors.

1 connected Lever

Capital control

A rule, tax or restriction that limits selected cross-border financial transactions.

1 connected Lever

Capital inflow

Foreign acquisition of domestic assets or reduction in residents' foreign assets.

1 connected Lever

Capital-flow reversal

A rapid shift from foreign money entering an economy to leaving it.

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Capitalisation

The process by which expected benefits or constraints become embedded in asset prices.

3 connected Levers

Chokepoint

A narrow route carrying flows that are difficult to reroute.

1 connected Lever

Circumvention

Changing a transaction's route or form to avoid a restriction.

2 connected Levers

Clinical endpoint

An outcome that matters directly to health, such as a fracture or heart attack, rather than only a laboratory marker.

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Cluster

A geographic concentration of linked skills, suppliers and infrastructure.

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Collective defence

An arrangement in which participants promise assistance when one of them is attacked.

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Comparative advantage

The ability to produce something at a lower opportunity cost than an alternative producer.

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Complementary input

A separate item or service required for another product to work.

1 connected Lever

Concentration risk

Exposure created when many activities depend on the same location or supplier.

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Confounding

When another difference between groups helps explain an apparent relationship between a food and an outcome.

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Consumer price inflation

The rate at which a basket of household consumption goods and services becomes more expensive.

1 connected Lever

Cost pass-through

The extent to which a firm's higher costs appear in the prices paid by customers.

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Counterparty risk

The risk that the other party to a financial contract fails to perform.

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Coupon

A bond's scheduled interest payment.

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Credible commitment

A promise or threat others have good reason to expect will be carried out.

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Critical mineral

A material economically important to a system and exposed to significant supply disruption risk.

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Currency crisis

A sharp loss of confidence and value in a currency, often accompanied by reserve or financing pressure.

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Currency mismatch

Liabilities are denominated in a different currency from income or assets.

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Currency swap line

An agreement allowing two central banks to exchange currencies temporarily and reverse the exchange later.

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Current account

Trade in goods and services plus primary and secondary income flows with the rest of the world.

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Current earnings

Accounting profit reported for a recent period, which may contain temporary, non-cash or cyclical components.

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Custody

The holding and administration of securities or deposits for an owner.

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Customer acquisition cost

The spending or discount used to win a new customer.

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Customer churn

The rate at which customers end or fail to renew a relationship.

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Debt service

Interest and principal payments due on outstanding debt.

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Destination flexibility

The ability to redirect a cargo toward a different buyer or market.

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Deterrence

Changing another actor's choice by making aggression look too costly or unlikely to succeed.

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Diet identity

A food pattern that also supplies rules, belonging and a way to describe oneself.

1 connected Lever

Discount rate

The return used to convert an expected future payoff into a value today.

2 connected Levers

Dollar funding

Borrowing or obtaining dollars needed to finance assets, trade, or payments denominated in dollars.

1 connected Lever

Dollar funding market

The network through which institutions borrow and lend US dollars.

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Doom loop

A self-reinforcing cycle of weakening sovereign and bank balance sheets.

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Duration

A measure of how sensitive a bond's price is to interest-rate changes.

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Economic incidence

The parties whose real income ultimately falls because of a tax.

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Economic obsolescence

Replacement because continued use or repair no longer appears worthwhile.

2 connected Levers

Economies of scale

Lower average cost made possible by producing at a larger scale.

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Effective capacity

The amount a transport network can move within a given time, accounting for delays and distance.

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Elasticity

How strongly quantity responds to a change in price.

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Energy intensity

The amount of energy used to produce a unit of output.

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Energy security

Reliable access to energy at manageable cost.

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Envelopment

Using one platform position to enter or control adjacent services.

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Equity risk premium

The extra expected return investors require for holding risky shares rather than safer assets.

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Evolutionary mismatch

The hypothesis that some modern environments change faster than human biology can adapt to them.

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Exit discipline

The pressure for persistently unprofitable capacity to close or restructure.

1 connected Lever

Expected cash flow

Cash investors expect the business could distribute or reinvest profitably in the future.

2 connected Levers

Experience good

A product whose quality is learned mainly through use.

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Export control

A legal restriction on transferring specified goods, software or know-how.

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Export jurisdiction

The legal basis for applying export rules to an item or transaction.

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Fabrication plant

A highly specialized facility that manufactures semiconductor wafers.

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Feedstock

A raw material transformed into another industrial product.

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Fertilizer affordability

The cost of fertilizer relative to the value farmers expect from crops.

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Financial account

Cross-border transactions in financial assets and liabilities.

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Fixed cost

A cost that does not rise proportionally with each sale.

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Fixed-rate mortgage

A mortgage whose contracted interest rate stays fixed for a defined period or term.

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Food expenditure share

The portion of a household budget spent on food.

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Food matrix

The structure and combination of components in a food, which can affect its physiological effects.

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Food substitution

Replacing one food with another, changing what is added as well as what is removed.

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Foreign Direct Product Rule

A US rule that can subject certain foreign-made items derived from specified US technology or software to export controls.

1 connected Lever

Foreign exchange intervention

A central bank purchase or sale of currencies to influence market conditions.

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Foundry

A company that manufactures chips designed by other firms.

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Fructans

Fermentable carbohydrates found in some foods, including wheat; they are chemically different from gluten proteins.

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Futures contract

A standardised exchange-traded agreement tied to a later purchase or sale.

1 connected Lever

General-purpose technology

A technology used across many sectors and applications.

1 connected Lever

Global financial cycle

International credit conditions that move together across markets.

2 connected Levers

Hedging

Taking a position designed to offset an existing price risk.

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Hinterland

The inland region connected to a port through roads, rail, waterways and logistics networks.

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Hub economy

Cumulative advantages created when flows and specialized services concentrate in one node.

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Individual heterogeneity

People can respond differently to the same food because their physiology, context and goals differ.

1 connected Lever

Industrial overcapacity

Production capability that persistently exceeds demand at prices supporting normal commercial returns.

2 connected Levers

Industrial policy

Government action intended to shape the location or capabilities of production.

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Inertia

Continuing with a default because active reconsideration requires attention.

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Inflation expectations

Beliefs about future price growth that can influence decisions today.

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Information lag

The delay before new information changes customer beliefs.

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Input pass-through

The transmission of a production-cost change into later prices or quantities.

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Input-output network

The web of industries buying inputs from and selling outputs to one another.

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Interoperability

The ability of different payment systems to exchange transactions reliably.

2 connected Levers

Intervention bundle

A change that alters several foods, routines and behaviours at the same time.

1 connected Lever

Inventory buffer

Stock held to keep operating when deliveries are late or uncertain.

1 connected Lever

Invoicing currency

The currency used to state the price and payment obligation in a trade contract.

1 connected Lever

Jurisdiction

The legal reach within which an authority can require or prohibit conduct.

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Jurisdictional risk

Exposure to legal or political action in the place governing an asset or intermediary.

1 connected Lever

Labour productivity

Output produced per worker or per hour worked.

1 connected Lever

Lactose tolerance

The amount of milk sugar someone can consume without troublesome symptoms; it depends on digestion, dose and individual response.

1 connected Lever

Land-use regulation

Rules governing what and how much may be built on land.

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Leading edge

The most advanced commercially produced process technologies.

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Legal incidence

The party legally required to remit a tax.

1 connected Lever

Lifecycle cost

Purchase, operation, repair and replacement cost over a product's useful life.

2 connected Levers

Liquefied natural gas

Natural gas cooled into liquid form for shipping and later regasified.

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Liquidity backstop

A facility that supplies funding when ordinary markets become impaired.

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Local market

The geographic set of alternatives that customers realistically use.

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Macroprudential policy

Rules designed to limit risks across the financial system rather than one institution.

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Margin

The difference between revenue and relevant cost.

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Marginal product

The additional output associated with one more unit of labour under given conditions.

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Maritime service

Insurance, finance, brokering, flagging or technical support required for shipping.

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Market concentration

The extent to which sales or control sit with a small number of firms.

1 connected Lever

Market tipping

A feedback process that moves much of a market toward one platform.

1 connected Lever

Market-distorting support

Government assistance that changes production or trade decisions relative to normal market conditions.

1 connected Lever

Midstream bottleneck

A constrained processing stage between raw extraction and finished products.

1 connected Lever

Narrative compression

Reducing many causes and choices into one memorable explanatory story.

1 connected Lever

Negative option

An arrangement that continues unless the customer actively cancels.

1 connected Lever

Net international investment position

A country's external assets minus its external liabilities.

3 connected Levers

Network effect

A system becomes more useful to each participant as more other participants use it.

1 connected Lever

Nocebo effect

An adverse symptom response influenced by negative expectations; the symptoms remain real.

1 connected Lever

Oil benchmark

A reference price, such as Brent or WTI, used to price many physical oil transactions.

2 connected Levers

Opportunity cost

The value of the best alternative forgone when a choice is made.

1 connected Lever

Overcompliance

When firms avoid lawful activity because screening uncertainty or penalties make the perceived risk too high.

1 connected Lever

Partitioned pricing

Presenting a total price as a base price plus one or more separate charges.

1 connected Lever

Parts pairing

Software linking a component to a specific device or authorization process.

2 connected Levers

Pass-through

The share of a cost change reflected in later prices.

1 connected Lever

Path dependence

Past investment choices constrain the options available later.

1 connected Lever

Payment rail

The infrastructure and rules used to transmit, clear or settle payment instructions.

1 connected Lever

Payment sovereignty

The capacity to maintain essential payments under domestic public authority and policy choices.

1 connected Lever

Persistence

The extent to which inflation continues after its initial trigger.

2 connected Levers

Pipeline lock-in

Dependence created by fixed transport infrastructure and connected demand.

1 connected Lever

Policy lag

The delay between a rate change and its broader economic effects.

2 connected Levers

Policy rate

The short-term interest rate directly influenced by a central bank.

1 connected Lever

Political trigger

An event that activates existing pressures without being their sole root cause.

1 connected Lever

Port connectivity

The frequency, capacity and range of shipping services linking a port to other markets.

1 connected Lever

Portfolio rebalancing

Investors shifting into other assets when the return or availability of their existing holdings changes.

1 connected Lever

Positive externality

A benefit to others that the decision-maker cannot fully capture in its own return.

1 connected Lever

Present value

Today's value of future payments discounted at a required return.

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Price cap

A rule permitting specified services only when a covered commodity trades at or below a threshold.

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Price discovery

Combining trades and information into a market price.

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Price discrimination

Using product versions or conditions to charge different effective prices to customers with different needs or willingness to pay.

1 connected Lever

Price salience

The tendency for the most visible price to influence attention and comparison more than less visible components.

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Price walking

Increasing a customer's price at successive renewals.

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Price-to-income ratio

A comparison of home prices with household incomes.

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Product differentiation

Designing offers to appeal to different preferences or uses.

1 connected Lever

Protection and indemnity insurance

Liability coverage used by shipowners for major maritime risks.

1 connected Lever

Purchasing power parity

A comparison that adjusts currencies for differences in local price levels.

1 connected Lever

Real income

Income measured by the goods and services it can actually purchase.

1 connected Lever

Real interest rate

An interest rate adjusted for expected inflation.

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Recurring revenue

Income expected to repeat while customers remain subscribed.

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Refinancing risk

The risk that maturing debt cannot be replaced at an affordable rate.

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Refining concentration

A large share of processing capacity located in a small number of countries or firms.

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Regasification

Converting imported LNG back into gas for pipelines and consumers.

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Repair capacity

Ships, permits, equipment and coordination needed to restore a damaged cable.

1 connected Lever

Replication

Reusing a tested operating format in additional locations.

1 connected Lever

Reputation capital

Trust accumulated from past performance that influences present demand.

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Reputation lag

The delay before changed performance alters market beliefs.

1 connected Lever

Reserve adequacy

Whether reserves are sufficient relative to plausible external payment and funding pressures.

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Reserve asset

A liquid foreign asset controlled by monetary authorities and available for external financing needs.

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Reserve currency

A currency and its assets held by central banks for intervention, liquidity, and precautionary needs.

1 connected Lever

Reserve diversification

Spreading reserve assets across currencies, instruments, custodians or jurisdictions.

1 connected Lever

Reserve immobilization

A restriction that prevents an authority from accessing or transferring reserve assets.

1 connected Lever

Retention

The share of customers who continue the relationship.

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Right to repair

Policies seeking access to parts, tools, information and diagnostics needed for repair.

1 connected Lever

Risk premium

Extra compensation demanded for bearing uncertain losses.

1 connected Lever

Rollover risk

The risk that maturing debt cannot be replaced with new borrowing.

1 connected Lever

Route diversity

Having physically independent paths so one disruption does not disable all connectivity.

2 connected Levers

Safe asset

An asset expected to preserve value, remain liquid, and be accepted as collateral, especially during stress.

1 connected Lever

Search cost

The time and effort required to discover and compare the relevant price and product information.

1 connected Lever

Second-round effect

A later wage or price response that extends an initial shock beyond its direct impact.

1 connected Lever

Secondary exposure

Risk faced by third-country firms when dealing with a target may threaten their access to the sender's market.

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Security dilemma

A situation where one actor's attempt to become safer makes another feel less safe.

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Self-fulfilling expectation

A belief that changes behavior in ways that help produce the expected outcome.

1 connected Lever

Service life

The period a product is actually used before replacement or disposal.

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Settlement

The final transfer that discharges a payment obligation.

1 connected Lever

Shadow fleet

Ships and service arrangements used to reduce exposure to mainstream regulated maritime networks.

1 connected Lever

Shelf space

Limited retail display and inventory capacity over which suppliers compete.

1 connected Lever

Short-term proxy

An early measure such as appetite, energy, weight or a blood marker that may not predict every long-term outcome.

1 connected Lever

Social safety net

Public programs that protect households from income and consumption shocks.

1 connected Lever

Sovereign bond

Debt issued by a national government.

1 connected Lever

Sovereign currency

A currency issued by the government or central bank whose debt is being discussed.

1 connected Lever

Sovereign-bank nexus

The financial feedback links between a government and its domestic banking system.

1 connected Lever

Spare capacity

Production or transport capability available beyond current use.

1 connected Lever

Submarine cable

A fiber-optic cable laid on the seabed to carry communications between land networks.

1 connected Lever

Subsidy race

Competition in which governments offer support to attract the same mobile investment.

1 connected Lever

Substitutability

How easily another material or technology can perform the same function.

1 connected Lever

Substitution effect

The difference a food change makes relative to the particular food or nutrient it replaces.

1 connected Lever

Sudden stop

An abrupt reduction or reversal of foreign capital inflows.

1 connected Lever

Sunk cost

An investment that cannot be fully recovered after it is made.

1 connected Lever

Supplier qualification

Testing and approving a supplier to meet technical, quality and reliability requirements.

1 connected Lever

Supply elasticity

How strongly new housing supply responds to higher prices.

1 connected Lever

Supply shock

An abrupt change in the cost or availability of important inputs.

1 connected Lever

Supply-chain ecosystem

The connected suppliers, services, skills and infrastructure needed to deliver a product.

1 connected Lever

Survivorship bias

Judging a population from the members that remained observable.

3 connected Levers

Switching cost

The time, risk or money involved in changing supplier.

1 connected Lever

Technical failure

Loss of function caused by a component or system fault.

1 connected Lever

Technological chokepoint

A hard-to-substitute capability controlled by few suppliers.

1 connected Lever

Trade remedy

A tariff or measure responding to dumping, subsidies or import surges under defined rules.

1 connected Lever

Transmission

The channels through which a policy decision affects financing, demand and prices.

1 connected Lever

Transshipment

Moving cargo between vessels at an intermediate port.

1 connected Lever

Unbundling

Selling components separately that were previously offered together as one product.

1 connected Lever

Upstream dependency

Reliance on tools, software or knowledge needed before final production.

1 connected Lever

Valuation multiple

A ratio such as price-to-earnings that shows how much investors pay per unit of a current or expected financial measure.

1 connected Lever

Variable-rate mortgage

A mortgage whose rate can reset with a reference rate or lender schedule.

1 connected Lever

Vehicle currency

A currency used between parties even when neither party uses it at home.

1 connected Lever

Yield

Return implied by a bond's price and promised cash flows.

1 connected Lever

Yield curve

The set of market interest rates for borrowing over different maturities.