Unseen Levers

everyday life · Under the Surface · 6 min

Why do companies offer better deals to new customers than loyal ones?

The customer who might switch must be won; the customer expected to stay can be priced differently.

The intuitive answer

The company dislikes loyal customers.

In 30 seconds

Acquisition discounts target customers who can still choose, while inertia and switching costs make some existing customers less price-sensitive at renewal.

Read the full explanation

The observation

Documented change

You noticed the outcome first.

In several subscription and financial markets, longstanding customers have paid more than comparable new or actively switching customers.

The pattern differs by firm, product and regulation; loyalty can also earn genuine discounts or benefits.

Before

A prospective customer can compare offers and has not yet invested in one provider.

After

An existing customer may face renewal defaults, learned routines, stored data or cancellation effort.

Documented in UK telecom, savings, mortgage and insurance markets during the late 2010s, with later regulatory changes in some sectors.

What changed underneath?

The visible outcome is the end of the chain.

01

Acquisition gained future value

A low first price can be justified by expected future revenue from retained customers.

02

Customers became less mobile

Time, uncertainty, cancellation and setup costs reduce switching.

03

Renewal pricing personalized inertia

Firms can identify customers likely to renew and raise prices over time.

The unseen lever

Firms can subsidize acquisition and recover margin later when customer inertia or switching costs make renewal demand less sensitive.

  1. triggerFirms compete for unattached customers
    firms compete for unattached customers makes introductory prices reduce entry friction possible
  2. mechanismIntroductory prices reduce entry friction
    introductory prices reduce entry friction makes customers accumulate switching costs possible
  3. mechanismCustomers accumulate switching costs
    customers accumulate switching costs makes renewal becomes less price-sensitive possible
  4. amplifierRenewal becomes less price-sensitive
    renewal becomes less price-sensitive raises the likelihood of loyal customers can pay more
  5. outcomeLoyal customers can pay more

The deeper explanation

The short answer is the start, not the whole story.

In markets with repeat contracts, firms can discount aggressively to acquire a customer whose future payments have value. Once the customer has learned the service, stored data or accepted automatic renewal, switching requires attention and effort. Regulators have documented this loyalty penalty in several UK financial and telecom markets, but it is not universal and some rules now constrain it.

The forces underneath

01

Acquisition gained future value

A low first price can be justified by expected future revenue from retained customers.

02

Customers became less mobile

Time, uncertainty, cancellation and setup costs reduce switching.

03

Renewal pricing personalized inertia

Firms can identify customers likely to renew and raise prices over time.

Incentives

What each actor is trying to do

Provider

Acquire customers cheaply enough to earn a return over the relationship.

New customer

Use comparison and credible exit to obtain an introductory offer.

Existing customer

Avoid repeated search while retaining fair terms.

Transfer case

Broadband contracts

Introductory offers can end while customers remain on higher out-of-contract prices.

Transfer case

Insurance renewal

Price walking historically raised some customers' premiums with tenure.

Transfer case

Savings accounts

New products can pay more while old balances remain in lower-rate accounts.

Who can gain

  • Active switchers who repeatedly compare
  • Providers retaining customers at sustainable cost

Who can bear the cost

  • Inattentive customers on poor legacy terms
  • Firms when promotions attract only unprofitable deal seekers

Second-order effects

  • Comparison markets reward frequent switching
  • Rules can shift competition from acquisition price to service and retention

Common overstatements

Introductory discounts can reflect lower onboarding risk, a limited promotion or efficient price competition rather than exploitation.

Some loyalty programs return value to long-term customers, and regulation can prevent renewal prices exceeding equivalent new-business offers.

Where the answer stops

Comparable risk and product terms must be checked before labeling a price difference a penalty.

Rules and practices differ by jurisdiction and date.

In markets with repeat contracts, firms can discount aggressively to acquire a customer whose future payments have value. Once the customer has learned the service, stored data or accepted automatic renewal, switching requires attention and effort. Regulators have documented this loyalty penalty in several UK financial and telecom markets, but it is not universal and some rules now constrain it. Firms can subsidize acquisition and recover margin later when customer inertia or switching costs make renewal demand less sensitive. The result is conditional, so the observation should be tested against the market, product and period being discussed.

Signals to watch

What would you have needed to notice earlier?

  1. A large introductory discountThe first-period price may be subsidizing acquisition.
  2. Automatic renewal with weak remindersInattention can support retention.
  3. Cancellation is harder than signupSwitching cost is being created by process design.

Evidence vs interpretation

Four layers, kept separate.

Observed fact

The UK CMA documented concerns about longstanding customers paying more in mobile, broadband, savings, mortgages and household insurance.

Supporting claim 1

Mechanism

The FCA found insurers identified customers likely to renew and increased some renewal prices, leading to price-walking remedies.

Supporting claim 2

Interpretation

Firms can subsidize acquisition and recover margin later when customer inertia or switching costs make renewal demand less sensitive.

Supporting claim 1, claim 2, claim 3

Scenario

When renewal prices must match equivalent new-business prices, providers have less room to recover acquisition subsidies through tenure-based increases.

Where else does this happen?

The mechanism travels.

Broadband contracts

Introductory offers can end while customers remain on higher out-of-contract prices.

Insurance renewal

Price walking historically raised some customers' premiums with tenure.

Savings accounts

New products can pay more while old balances remain in lower-rate accounts.

Go deeper

mechanism

When does this mechanism become strong enough to change the outcome?

another case

Where else would the same incentives produce a similar result?

challenge

What evidence would show that this explanation is incomplete?

Browse all Under the Surface cases →

Concepts that unlock it

Price walking

Increasing a customer's price at successive renewals.

Switching cost

The money, time, risk or effort involved in changing provider.

Inertia

Continuing with a default because active reconsideration requires attention.

What if?

What if switching took one click and carried all data automatically?

Inertia fallsRenewal competition risesIntroductory discounts may narrowService quality matters more

Check your understanding

Can you move the mechanism?

Question 1 of 2

Why can a firm rationally discount a new customer?

Question 2 of 2

Which change most weakens the loyalty penalty mechanism?

Evidence and limits

What supports this answer?